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Climate Temperate Set to Rise by 6 deg C

Posted on 12/1/2009 at 4:33:10 PM

A detailed analysis concludes that the average temperature rise across the world will be 6 deg C if action is not urgently taken to reduce the emissions of CO2. From 2000-2009 there was an increase in emissions by 25% and all of this increase came from developing nations with a quarter coming from production of goods for industrialised nations.
These finding should add to the urgency surrounding the discussions on climate change at the next UN summit in Copenhagen.
Corinne Le Quere, a Professor in climate change at the University of East Anglia and the British Antarctic Survey said,

“Based on our knowledge of recent trends and the time it takes to change energy infrastructure, I think that the Copenhagen conference next month is our last chance to stabilise at 2C in a smooth and organised way,”

“If the agreement is too weak or if the commitments are not respected, it’s not two and a half or three degrees that we will get, it’s five or six – that’s the path that we are on right now.”

The Global Carbon Project (GCP) is made of a network of scientists. Data is considered from many sources from atmospheric observations to business inventories to build a picture of overall CO2 emissions.
The results show an increase in emissions from 2002. Before 2002, CO2 emissions were increasing as at rate of 1% per year. After 2002 the emissions increase to around 3% a year which is a result of the emissions of China’s increase in industrial output. The global recession of 2008 caused a slight decrease in the rate of increase but it is hardly noticeable.
Carbon sinks are absorbing CO2 at a lower rate than they were 50 years ago . Emissions from land use have remain constant. Industrial emissions are increasing.